Russian-Ukrainian conflict: what consequences for the orange market?

With international sanctions severely restricting access to the Russian market (closure of shipping lines, devaluation of the rouble and shortage of foreign currency), could the volumes of oranges normally imported by Russia weigh down the European market? Nothing is less certain. Indeed, the Mediterranean season is already well advanced. The Turkish (98,000 tonnes imported in 2020/21) and Moroccan (10,400 tonnes in 2020-21) orange seasons are almost finished. Egypt, which remains Russia's leading trading partner with 262,000 tonnes imported in the 2020-21 season, usually completes 70% of its campaign before March. For the summer season, the volumes at stake in 2021 were 83,000 tonnes for South Africa and 16,600 tonnes for Argentina. However, the question of the level of certification and quarantine diseases and pesticides arises, as standards differ in Russia and the European Union.